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Aslan Research · Aerospace

SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP (SPCX)

Data as of 2026-08-21 · 2 quarters · filed in USD · outside the industry averages · thin history — read trends with care

Committed obligations of $41.5 billion nearly match reported debt of $40.8 billion, at 1.0x. The sharper scale signal is the $47.5 billion backlog, which exceeds reported debt.

Revenue, last 12 mo to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $41B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $41B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $14B + $47B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $67B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

signed backlogdeferredrevenue (qtr)Q2 '25Q2 '26$25B$50B

Reports $41B of debt; has promised $41B

Leases add $344 million to the $40.8 billion of reported debt, bringing total committed obligations to $41.5 billion. The filing comparison is 1.0x committed obligations to reported debt.

promisedreported debtQ2 '25Q2 '26$22B$44B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
99%

When the promises come due

The next five years hold $66.9 billion of obligations, versus $47.5 billion of backlog. A further $1.2 billion of obligations falls in years five through ten.

$67Bnext 5 years$1.2Byears 5–10$0beyond 10$0after yr 5, undated

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr
Expense growth /yr
Promised money /yr
Reported debt /yr
Deferred revenue /yr
Quarters re-stated 1 of 2 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$5.0Bfiled2025$5.0Breality2025$8.0Bfiled2026$7.7Breality2026

3 patterns worth a second look

The filing reports $11.1 billion of equity consideration and up to $8.5 billion of designated debt payoff tied to the pending Spectrum transaction, plus future payments under the Spectrum Credit Agreement. It also reports related-party equipment-lease debt and interest expense with Valor Equity Partners, alongside material purchases from Tesla. Major pending acquisitions and transaction-related obligations are reported as subsequent events.

off balance sheet · 1

The FY2026 Q2 filing reports $11.1 billion of equity consideration and up to $8.5 billion of designated debt payoff in the pending Spectrum transaction, plus future payments under the Spectrum Credit Agreement.

related party exposure · 1

The FY2026 Q2 filing reports substantial related-party equipment-lease debt and related interest expense with Valor Equity Partners, alongside material purchases from Tesla.

subsequent event · 1

The FY2026 Q2 filing reports major pending acquisitions and transaction-related obligations that could materially recontextualize the period.

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