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Aslan Research · AI software

Snowflake Inc. (SNOW)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 26 quarters · filed in USD

Snowflake’s revenue grew 50% per year, faster than its 41% annual expense growth. Its $9.2 billion backlog equals 1.8x one year of revenue, giving the future-work pipeline meaningful scale against the $5.0 billion trailing-year revenue base.

Revenue, last 12 mo $5.0B to 2026-04-30
Spend, last 12 mo $5.1B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report — balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $630M debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $2.9B + $9.2B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $10B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

signed backlogdeferredrevenue (qtr)Q4 '19Q3 '21Q2 '23Q4 '24Q2 '26$5.1B$10B

Reports — of debt; has promised $630M

Total committed money is led by $490 million for leases, with another $70 million for purchases. These obligations add to reported debt by capturing leases signed but not yet commenced and other future spending.

promisedQ4 '19Q3 '21Q2 '23Q4 '24Q2 '26$2.3B$4.5B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
88%
12%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
19%
17%
64%
2021
21%
21%
58%
2022
24%
24%
52%
2023
25%
27%
49%
2024
23%
33%
44%
2025
24%
35%
41%
2026
25%
32%
43%

When the promises come due

The $9.2 billion backlog is 1.8x one year of revenue, while $10.5 billion is due over the next 5 years. The contrast shows substantial contracted demand alongside a large near-term obligation wall.

$10Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$0after yr 5, undated

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 50% 2021-Q1 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 41%
Promised money /yr 13%
Reported debt /yr —
Deferred revenue /yr 41%
Quarters re-stated 17 of 26 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$164Mfiled2019$164Mreality2019$746Mfiled2020$631Mreality2020$1.8Bfiled2021$1.6Breality2021$2.6Bfiled2022$2.0Breality2022$3.7Bfiled2023$2.8Breality2023$4.8Bfiled2024$3.4Breality2024$5.9Bfiled2025$3.1Breality2025$3.3Bfiled2026$2.6Breality2026

11 patterns worth a second look

The sharpest disclosure issue is the reported relationship with Observe: Snowflake had customer contracts, revenue, vendor spending, and strategic investments with the same party, followed by an acquisition shortly after period end. Other flags include material commitments for leases signed but not yet commenced, a change in cloud infrastructure commitment definitions, and 17 of 26 quarters changed by reconciliation.

circular financing · 1

The FY2026 filing reports strategic investments in Observe, which is also reported as a customer and vendor.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings repeatedly report material commitments for leases signed but not yet commenced.

one time dressing · 1

The FY2022 filing presents expected non-cash gains from investee funding events as a subsequent-period benefit to results.

redefinition · 1

The cloud infrastructure commitment changes from an aggregate minimum through December 2025 to amended multi-year commitments with different periods and amounts.

regulator challenge · 3

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-08-31, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-07-10; it quotes 0 staff comments.

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-09-11, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-07-10; it quotes 0 staff comments.

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-09-11, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-07-10; it quotes 0 staff comments.

related party exposure · 1

The FY2026 filing reports related-party customer contracts, revenue, vendor spending, and strategic investments with Observe.

subsequent event · 1

The FY2026 filing reports the acquisition of Observe shortly after period end, recontextualizing prior related-party investments.

value revision · 1

The cataloged fair-value revision candidates show substantive changes in reported unrealized gains and losses.

vanishing item · 1

The FY2021 filing reports 186 Fortune 500 customers contributing 27% of revenue, while later filings use different customer-group disclosures and do not repeat this claim.

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