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Aslan Research · Hardware & networking

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 28 quarters · filed in USD

Committed obligations equal nearly a full year of revenue, with $34.7 billion committed against $39.1 billion of trailing-year revenue. Commitments grew 92% per year, faster than revenue at 51% and expenses at 61%.

Revenue, last 12 mo $39B to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo $37B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report — balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $35B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $2.6B + $2.6B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $39B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)deferredsigned backlogQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$6.7B$13B

Reports — of debt; has promised $35B

Purchases make up $34.2 billion of committed money, while leases account for $540 million. The commitment profile is therefore driven mainly by future purchases, not leases.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$18B$36B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
98%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
86%
2021
88%
2022
89%
2023
90%
2024
93%
2025
94%
2026
95%

When the promises come due

The next five years carry $39.5 billion due against $21.4 billion of future revenue promised, or 1.8x as much due. Another $327 million is scheduled after year five.

$39Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$327Mafter yr 5, undated$21Brevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 51% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 61%
Promised money /yr 92%
Reported debt /yr 35%
Deferred revenue /yr 46%
Quarters re-stated 2 of 28 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$1.6Bfiled2019$1.6Breality2019$2.3Bfiled2020$2.3Breality2020$4.0Bfiled2021$4.0Breality2021$6.1Bfiled2022$6.1Breality2022$8.5Bfiled2023$8.5Breality2023$19Bfiled2024$19Breality2024$27Bfiled2025$27Breality2025$20Bfiled2026$20Breality2026

15 patterns worth a second look

The sharpest flag is the reported financing of related-party suppliers that also provide goods or services. Other disclosures include an equity investment in a sublicensee alongside future sublicense receipts, and a receivables facility where the company is both seller and guarantor. Filing delays included a 10-K filed 240 days after period end and a 10-Q filed 148 days after period end.

circular financing · 2

The filings report company financing to related-party suppliers that also provide goods or services to the company.

The filings report an equity investment in the sublicensee while also reporting future sublicense receipts from that customer.

filing cadence · 6

The 10-K for the period ended 2024-06-30 was filed 240 days after the period end.

The 10-Q for the period ended 2024-09-30 was filed 148 days after the period end.

3 periodic filings (10-K, 10-Q, 10-Q) were filed on the same day, 2025-02-25.

+ 3 more

off balance sheet · 2

The filings report large obligations under data-center lease tranches not yet commenced, alongside expected sublicense receipts.

The filings report a receivables purchase facility under which the company is seller and guarantor, with receivables sold later reported as outstanding.

related party exposure · 2

The filings repeatedly report substantial purchase commitments and trade credit extended to related-party suppliers Ablecom and Compuware.

The filings report sales to, receivables from, and an equity investment in a corporate venture that is also a customer.

subsequent event · 1

The FY2024 filing reports major post-period financing that materially recontextualizes liquidity after June 30, 2024.

tagging quality · 1

14 XBRL facts were reported at inconsistent scales across filings (e.g. us-gaap:WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding).

value revision · 1

The reported SEC settlement accrual increased from $17.5 million to $18.114 million across filings.

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