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Aslan Research · Chips

QUALCOMM INC/DE (QCOM)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 28 quarters · filed in USD

Revenue grew 16% per year while expenses grew 4%, showing a faster top-line pace than cost growth. Trailing-year revenue was $44.1 billion against $30.0 billion of expenses, leaving a much wider revenue base than the expense base.

Revenue, last 12 mo $44B to 2026-06-28
Spend, last 12 mo $30B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $15B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $15B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $0 + — signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $7.8B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)signed backlogdeferredQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$6.4B$13B

Reports $15B of debt; has promised $15B

Committed money matches reported debt at 1.0x. All $14.8 billion of committed money is tied to debt, with no additional lease or purchase commitments shown here.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$21B$42B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
100%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
52%
34%
12%
2021
57%
29%
9%
2022
59%
26%
8%
2023
58%
32%
9%
2024
59%
31%
10%
2025
51%
23%
18%

When the promises come due

The main pressure sits after year five: $10.9 billion of commitments are undated after year five, compared with $7.8 billion due in the next five years. The next-five-year wall is especially large relative to promised revenue, at 4999.2x.

$7.8Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$11Bafter yr 5, undated$1.6Mrevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 16% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 4%
Promised money /yr -4%
Reported debt /yr -1%
Deferred revenue /yr —
Quarters re-stated 3 of 28 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$4.1Bfiled2019$4.1Breality2019$14Bfiled2020$14Breality2020$26Bfiled2021$26Breality2021$31Bfiled2022$31Breality2022$27Bfiled2023$27Breality2023$30Bfiled2024$30Breality2024$40Bfiled2025$34Breality2025$12Bfiled2026$12Breality2026

9 patterns worth a second look

The filings show a $5.7 billion valuation-allowance release presented as an income-tax benefit, identified as a one-time item. They also show receivables and customer-financing balances growing 13.6x while quarterly revenue grew 1.1x over the last 8 periods. Financial guarantees supported European Commission fines while appeals proceeded, rather than cash payments.

circular financing · 1

The company provided financing or guarantees to parties associated with an acquired business while also recording transaction-related proceeds or value from that business.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings disclose financial guarantees supporting European Commission fines rather than cash payments while appeals proceeded.

one time dressing · 1

The FY2025 filing presents a $5.7 billion valuation-allowance release as an income-tax benefit in FY2026.

receivables ratio · 1

Over the last 8 periods, receivables and customer-financing balances grew 13.6x while quarterly revenue grew 1.1x.

redefinition · 1

The Revolving Credit Facility changed from $5.0 billion with near-term expirations in the December 2019 filing to $4.5 billion with a December 2025 expiration in later filings.

regulator challenge · 1

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-11-17, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-11-12; it quotes 0 staff comments.

related party exposure · 1

Multiple filings report executives' and family trusts' Rule 10b5-1 arrangements covering sales of company shares.

subsequent event · 1

The April 1, 2022 Veoneer closing recontextualized the pending acquisition and related financing commitments disclosed at March 27, 2022.

vanishing item · 1

The $1.8 billion Huawei settlement-related revenue expectation reported at June 28, 2020 was subsequently reported as recognized revenue for fiscal 2020.

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