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Aslan Research · Data centers

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 11 quarters · filed in USD · RUB-era filings not charted

Revenue of $328 million trails expenses of $584 million over the trailing year. That gap sits beside $8.5 billion of reported debt, giving the balance sheet far more scale than the recent operating base.

Revenue, last 12 mo $328M to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo $584M cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $8.5B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $8.5B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $979M + — signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $33B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

deferredrevenue (qtr)Q3 '23Q2 '24Q4 '24Q3 '25Q2 '26$11B$21B

Reports $8.5B of debt; has promised $8.5B

Committed money matches reported debt at 1.0x. The full $8.5 billion commitment is tied to debt, with no added lease or purchase commitments shown here.

promisedreported debtQ3 '23Q2 '24Q4 '24Q3 '25Q2 '26$93B$186B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
100%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
43%
18%
32%
2021
49%
14%
35%
2022
20%
40%
39%
2023
32%
59%
2024
11%
28%
62%
2025
23%
24%
52%

When the promises come due

The next five years carry $33.3 billion of debt payments, while only $119 million of future revenue is promised for that period. The due amount is 279.4x the promised revenue.

$33Bnext 5 years$2.2Byears 5–10$0beyond 10$0after yr 5, undated$119Mrevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr — 2024-Q2 → 2025-Q3
Expense growth /yr —
Promised money /yr -60%
Reported debt /yr 198%
Deferred revenue /yr -67%
Quarters re-stated 5 of 11 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$67Bfiled2023$67Breality2023$454Mfiled2024$454Mreality2024$455Mfiled2025$432Mreality2025$821Mfiled2026$735Mreality2026

62 patterns worth a second look

The filings show company financing for entities that also generate customer or operating revenue, including customer loans and sales-financing receivables. Five of 11 quarters changed after reconciliation, and several historical figures were dropped when extraction passes disagreed.

circular financing · 1

The filings report company financing of entities that also generate customer or operating revenue, including customer loans and sales-financing receivables.

extraction disagreement · 54

6-K yndx-20210428ex991b5575f.htm: the two extraction passes read revenue for 2020-03-31 as 47003000000 vs 47003000; the figure was dropped.

6-K yndx-20210428ex991b5575f.htm: the two extraction passes read revenue for 2021-03-31 as 73136000000 vs 73136000; the figure was dropped.

6-K yndx-20210428ex991b5575f.htm: the two extraction passes read cost_of_revenue for 2020-03-31 as 16235000000 vs 16235000; the figure was dropped.

+ 51 more

off balance sheet · 1

The filings report substantial executed leases not yet commenced, with prepaid amounts disclosed separately from lease liabilities.

one time dressing · 1

The Q1 2026 filing separately identifies $10.2 million of one-off restructuring and other expenses in its non-GAAP reconciliation.

regulator challenge · 1

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-07-23, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-07-07; it quotes 2 staff comments.

related party exposure · 1

Related-party financing and transactions recur across filings, including senior-employee loans and services involving ClickHouse.

subsequent event · 2

The FY2023 filing is followed by a disposition of businesses representing more than 95% of 2023 consolidated revenue.

The FY2025 filing reports a post-period Microsoft agreement with estimated fees up to $17.4 billion and a potential $19.4 billion expanded value.

value revision · 1

Several FY2022 comparative amounts are substantively revised in the FY2024 filing.

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