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Aslan Research · Chips

MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC (MU)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 28 quarters · filed in USD

Revenue reached $78.1 billion over the trailing year, while revenue growth was 26% versus 17% expense growth. The $5.0 billion backlog was only 0.1x one year of revenue, so it provides limited coverage at that scale.

Revenue, last 12 mo $78B to 2026-05-28
Spend, last 12 mo $36B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $5.7B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $6.4B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $0 + $5.0B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $32B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)signed backlogdeferredQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$22B$44B

Reports $5.7B of debt; has promised $6.4B

Committed obligations totaled $6.4 billion, or 1.1x reported debt of $5.7 billion. Leases accounted for $654 million of the committed obligations beyond debt.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$11B$22B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
90%
10%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
80%
14%
2021
81%
13%
2022
77%
14%
2023
80%
15%
2024
80%
14%
2025
79%
13%

When the promises come due

The next five years carry $31.7 billion due against $9.4 billion of future revenue promised over the same period. That makes scheduled obligations 3.4x the promised revenue.

$32Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$0after yr 5, undated$9.4Brevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 26% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 17%
Promised money /yr -11%
Reported debt /yr -0%
Deferred revenue /yr 50%
Quarters re-stated 23 of 28 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$4.7Bfiled2019$4.7Breality2019$14Bfiled2020$9.2Breality2020$22Bfiled2021$13Breality2021$21Bfiled2022$9.1Breality2022$23Bfiled2023$17Breality2023$25Bfiled2024$21Breality2024$30Bfiled2025$27Breality2025$23Bfiled2026$21Breality2026

6 patterns worth a second look

The filings identify finance lease obligations under Lease SPE arrangements and additional executed leases that had not started. They also present business-interruption insurance proceeds as revenue while describing them as settlement proceeds. Other disclosed items include a change from commitments of up to $3.4 billion to CHIPS Act grants of up to $6.4 billion, a new revolving credit facility entered into after the reporting date, a $1.8 billion facility acquisition completed after the reporting date, and a lower prior-period inventory balance in a later filing.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings report substantial finance lease obligations under Lease SPE arrangements and additional executed leases not yet commenced.

one time dressing · 1

The filings present insurance-claim proceeds for business interruption as revenue while also identifying the items as settlement proceeds.

redefinition · 1

The government-incentive metric expands from commitments of up to $3.4 billion to total CHIPS Act grants of up to $6.4 billion.

subsequent event · 2

The FY2025 filing reports a new revolving credit facility entered into after the reporting date, increasing permitted borrowing capacity.

The FY2025 filing reports completion of the Powerchip facility acquisition after the reporting date for total cash consideration of $1.8 billion.

value revision · 1

The inventory revision is substantive because the later filing reports a lower prior-period inventory balance.

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