Aslan Terminal ← The industry paper

Aslan Research · Chip equipment

LAM RESEARCH CORP (LRCX)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 28 quarters · filed in USD

Revenue grew 15% per year while expenses fell 7% per year, a sharp contrast in the operating trend. The $2.4 billion backlog is only 0.1x one year of revenue, so reported demand covers a small share of the current scale.

Revenue, last 12 mo $22B to 2026-06-28
Spend, last 12 mo $4.5B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $3.7B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $5.6B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $2.3B + $2.4B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $3.5B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)signed backlogdeferredQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$3.5B$7.1B

Reports $3.7B of debt; has promised $5.6B

Total committed money reaches 1.5x reported debt because it includes $387 million of leases and $1.5 billion of purchases alongside $3.7 billion of debt.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$3.9B$7.8B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
67%
26%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
71%
16%
9%
2021
74%
14%
2022
75%
13%
2023
75%
13%
2024
70%
17%
2025
72%
16%
2026
72%
15%

When the promises come due

The next five years bring $3.5 billion of obligations against $1.4 billion of future revenue promised for that period. That leaves the near-term obligation wall at 2.6x the revenue already scheduled, while another $2.2 billion is undated after year five.

$3.5Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$2.2Bafter yr 5, undated$1.4Brevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 15% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr -7%
Promised money /yr 3%
Reported debt /yr -3%
Deferred revenue /yr 29%
Quarters re-stated 10 of 28 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$3.7Bfiled2019$3.7Breality2019$8.8Bfiled2020$8.1Breality2020$12Bfiled2021$12Breality2021$14Bfiled2022$14Breality2022$11Bfiled2023$11Breality2023$12Bfiled2024$11Breality2024$9.1Bfiled2025$8.7Breality2025$2.3Bfiled2026$2.3Breality2026

7 patterns worth a second look

The filings place large operating-lease obligations and residual-value guarantees outside the debt schedule. They also show a credit-facility redefinition from $1.50 billion with a $600 million expansion option to $2.00 billion with a $750 million expansion option. Separately, 14 XBRL facts used inconsistent scales across filings, including diluted-share counts.

off balance sheet · 1

The company reports large operating-lease obligations and residual-value guarantees outside the debt schedule.

one time dressing · 1

Restructuring and business-process expenditures are presented as recurring forward-looking initiatives across filings while restructuring charges are separately disclosed.

redefinition · 1

The revolving credit facility changes from $1.50 billion with a $600 million expansion option to $2.00 billion with a $750 million expansion option.

regulator challenge · 1

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2021-01-15, answering a staff comment letter dated 2021-01-06; it quotes 0 staff comments.

related party exposure · 1

The filings repeatedly disclose substantial officer and director trading arrangements involving company shares.

subsequent event · 1

The FY2023 filing reports headcount-reduction restructuring activity commencing after the FY2022 period end.

tagging quality · 1

14 XBRL facts were reported at inconsistent scales across filings (e.g. us-gaap:WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding).

← Back to the industry paper