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Aslan Research · Cloud & platforms

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 27 quarters · filed in USD

Backlog stands at $519.5 billion, or 1.2x one year of revenue, giving the unrecognized work more scale than a headline growth rate alone. Revenue grew 18% per year while expenses grew 14% per year.

Revenue, last 12 mo $446B to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo $313B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $100B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $118B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $7.2B + $520B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $223B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

signed backlogrevenue (qtr)deferredQ3 '19Q3 '21Q1 '23Q4 '24Q2 '26$273B$545B

Reports $100B of debt; has promised $118B

Total committed obligations are 1.2x reported debt. Leases account for $18.0 billion of commitments beyond the debt balance.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q3 '21Q1 '23Q4 '24Q2 '26$111B$223B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
85%
15%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
57%
18%
19%
2021
57%
16%
19%
2022
58%
18%
19%
2023
57%
19%
19%
2024
57%
19%
16%
2025
54%
20%
17%
9%

When the promises come due

The next five years show a sharp timing gap: $222.9 billion comes due, while only $311 million of future revenue is promised for that period. That is a 716.1x difference between obligations due and revenue promised.

$223Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$0after yr 5, undated$311Mrevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 18% 2020-Q4 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 14%
Promised money /yr 36%
Reported debt /yr 61%
Deferred revenue /yr 20%
Quarters re-stated 2 of 27 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$33Bfiled2019$33Breality2019$149Bfiled2020$149Breality2020$194Bfiled2021$194Breality2021$219Bfiled2022$219Breality2022$235Bfiled2023$235Breality2023$257Bfiled2024$257Breality2024$300Bfiled2025$300Breality2025$191Bfiled2026$150Breality2026

8 patterns worth a second look

The most striking flag is the $42.6 billion Android fine reduction recorded as a third-quarter expense benefit, a non-recurring item within period results. The filings also changed purchase commitments from mainly supplier commitments to a broader scope covering supply, energy, and content agreements, while repeated diluted EPS revisions for 2020–2022 were substantive scale changes.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings report increasingly large future data-center lease commitments that had not yet commenced and were not recorded on the balance sheet, alongside exposure to unconsolidated data-center leasing entities.

one time dressing · 1

The FY2022 filing presents a $217 million reduction of the Android fine as a third-quarter expense benefit, a non-recurring item within period results.

redefinition · 1

The filings change the reported scope of purchase commitments from primarily supplier commitments to a broader set including supply, energy, and content agreements.

subsequent event · 3

The FY2024 filing reports an $8.0 billion unrealized gain recognized in January 2025 on a private-company investment, recontextualizing the period-end investment position.

The FY2025 filing reports a February 2026 Waymo investment round of $16.0 billion, with the significant majority funded by Alphabet.

The March 2026 filing reports that a private investment company's future capital funding could reach $30.0 billion and includes a $10.0 billion capital commitment.

value revision · 2

The repeated diluted EPS revisions for 2020–2022 are substantive scale changes rather than clerical edits.

The catalog shows substantive revisions to unrealized equity-security gains and losses for 2020–2022.

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