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Aslan Research · Data centers

CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV)

Data as of 2026-08-21 · 10 quarters · filed in USD

Backlog reaches $103.7 billion, or 14.3x one year of revenue. That promised work is far larger than trailing-year expenses of $2.9 billion, showing how much future demand sits ahead of the current cost base.

Revenue, last 12 mo $7.2B to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo $2.9B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $16B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $9.7B + $104B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $28B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

signed backlogdeferredrevenue (qtr)Q1 '24Q3 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q2 '26$54B$109B

Reports — of debt; has promised $16B

All $16.3 billion of total committed money is tied to leases. That makes the commitment picture broader than debt alone because it captures long-term lease payments.

reported debtpromisedQ1 '24Q3 '24Q2 '25Q4 '25Q2 '26$19B$38B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
100%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2023
41%
12%
25%
21%
2024
61%
17%
15%
2025
57%
14%
31%

When the promises come due

The next five years carry $27.9 billion of lease payments, while backlog covers 14.3x one year of revenue. The near-term payment wall is therefore material against the revenue base already promised.

$28Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$0after yr 5, undated

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 2024-Q4 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr
Promised money /yr
Reported debt /yr
Deferred revenue /yr
Quarters re-stated 4 of 10 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$805Mfiled2024$805Mreality2024$2.6Bfiled2025$2.2Breality2025$2.4Bfiled2026$1.5Breality2026

6 patterns worth a second look

The sharpest flag is circular financing: a company-funded note receivable and financing obligation involve a data center service provider that also supplies infrastructure services. The filings also show substantial executed leases not yet commenced, plus obligations involving unconsolidated VIEs and JV backstops.

circular financing · 1

The filings report a company-funded note receivable and financing obligation involving a data center service provider that also supplies infrastructure services.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings report substantial executed leases not yet commenced and obligations involving unconsolidated VIEs and JV backstops.

redefinition · 1

The filings change the stated scope and timing of remaining-performance-obligation recognition expectations.

related party exposure · 1

The filings report recurring financing and equity exposures involving Magnetar and an unconsolidated joint venture.

subsequent event · 1

Subsequent filings report new debt, lease, equity, and facility activity that materially recontextualizes preceding period commitments.

value revision · 1

The attached revenue and operating-income revisions are substantive period-value changes; the selling-and-marketing revisions appear clerical or rounding-level.

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