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Aslan Research · Chips

ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK (ARM)

Data as of 2026-08-21 · 16 quarters · filed in USD

Revenue reached $4.5 billion over the trailing year, while expenses were $4.0 billion. Revenue grew 24% per year, faster than expense growth of 18%, and the backlog was 0.5x one year of revenue.

Revenue, last 12 mo $4.5B to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo $4.0B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $464M debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $1.6B + $2.1B signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $1.0B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

signed backlogdeferredrevenue (qtr)Q3 '22Q3 '23Q3 '24Q2 '25Q2 '26$1.3B$2.6B

Reports — of debt; has promised $464M

All $464 million of total committed money is tied to leases. That makes committed obligations equal to reported lease commitments, with no separate purchase obligations shown.

promisedQ3 '22Q3 '23Q3 '24Q2 '25Q2 '26$914M$1.8B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
100%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2022
47%
42%
2023
53%
35%
2024
65%
33%
2025
67%
32%
2026
65%
26%

When the promises come due

The next five years bring $1.0 billion of obligations due against $96.7 billion of future revenue promised to the company. Another $286 million of lease obligations comes due after year five.

$1.0Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$286Mafter yr 5, undated$97Brevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 24% 2023-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 18%
Promised money /yr 26%
Reported debt /yr
Deferred revenue /yr 4%
Quarters re-stated 6 of 16 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$1.2Bfiled2022$1.2Breality2022$3.3Bfiled2023$3.3Breality2023$3.4Bfiled2024$2.8Breality2024$3.9Bfiled2025$3.5Breality2025$2.1Bfiled2026$2.0Breality2026

24 patterns worth a second look

The filings show financing and revenue relationships involving related parties that also provide revenue or contract balances. Six of 16 quarters changed through reconciliation, and some extraction disagreements caused figures to be dropped, including operating income, net income, income tax, and operating cash flow readings.

circular financing · 1

The company reports financing and revenue relationships involving related parties that also provide revenue or contract balances.

extraction disagreement · 18

6-K arm-20230930.htm: the two extraction passes read operating_income for 2023-09-30 as -156000000 vs 156000000; the figure was dropped.

6-K arm-20230930.htm: the two extraction passes read operating_income for 2023-09-30 as -45000000 vs 45000000; the figure was dropped.

6-K arm-20230930.htm: the two extraction passes read net_income for 2023-09-30 as -110000000 vs 110000000; the figure was dropped.

+ 15 more

off balance sheet · 1

The filings report substantial obligations outside recorded lease liabilities, including signed leases not yet commenced and purchase commitments.

one time dressing · 1

Reported performance benefited from identified one-time reversals and releases.

redefinition · 1

The filings describe ACV using changing definitions and time horizons.

related party exposure · 1

Related-party revenue and receivable exposure increased materially across the filings.

subsequent event · 1

Subsequent filings report transactions that materially recontextualize preceding period commitments.

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