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Aslan Research · Cloud & platforms

AMAZON COM INC (AMZN)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 28 quarters · filed in USD

Committed obligations are growing faster than the business: commitments rose 21% per year versus 15% annual revenue growth. Trailing-year revenue was $737.7 billion, against $432.4 billion of expenses.

Revenue, last 12 mo $738B to 2026-06-30
Spend, last 12 mo $432B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $129B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $244B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $25B + — signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $323B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)signed backlogdeferredQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$112B$224B

Reports $129B of debt; has promised $244B

Total committed money is 1.9x reported debt. The gap reflects $96.3 billion of lease commitments and $18.4 billion of purchase commitments beyond $129.2 billion of reported debt.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q3 '24Q2 '26$128B$256B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
53%
39%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
96%
2021
95%
2022
97%
2023
94%
2024
94%
2025
92%

When the promises come due

The next five years carry $322.8 billion of commitments against $138.0 billion of future revenue promised for that period. That makes due commitments 2.3x the revenue promised over the same period. Another $45.0 billion falls after year five without a stated due date.

$323Bnext 5 years$0years 5–10$0beyond 10$45Bafter yr 5, undated$138Brevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 15% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 11%
Promised money /yr 21%
Reported debt /yr 27%
Deferred revenue /yr 16%
Quarters re-stated 4 of 28 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$43Bfiled2019$43Breality2019$161Bfiled2020$161Breality2020$286Bfiled2021$269Breality2021$298Bfiled2022$298Breality2022$324Bfiled2023$322Breality2023$347Bfiled2024$347Breality2024$387Bfiled2025$387Breality2025$216Bfiled2026$216Breality2026

10 patterns worth a second look

The sharpest disclosure flag is a scope change: future-service commitments broadened beyond primarily AWS contracts, while the reported amount rose from $155.7 billion to $244 billion. Filings also report financing and equity investments in OpenAI and Anthropic while identifying both as sources of future AWS commitments, alongside leases not yet commenced and build-to-suit amounts outside current lease liabilities.

circular financing · 1

The March 2026 filing reports financing and equity investments in OpenAI and Anthropic while also reporting those counterparties as sources of future AWS commercial commitments.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings repeatedly report large commitments for leases not yet commenced and build-to-suit-related amounts outside currently commenced lease liabilities.

one time dressing · 1

The FY2025 filing separately identifies substantial one-time or unusual expenses, including an FTC settlement, severance, impairments, and a useful-life change, alongside reported operating results.

redefinition · 1

The filings change the scope and presentation of future-service commitments from primarily AWS contracts with terms exceeding one year to broader future-service commitments, while the reported amount rises from $155.7 billion to $244 billion.

regulator challenge · 3

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2021-10-21, answering a staff comment letter dated 2021-09-23; it quotes 1 staff comment.

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2021-12-07, answering a staff comment letter dated 2021-11-08; it quotes 3 staff comments.

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2022-02-18, answering a staff comment letter dated 2022-01-25; it quotes 1 staff comment.

related party exposure · 1

The filings report increasing investment and commercial commitments with Anthropic and OpenAI, with both counterparties identified as related parties in the March 2026 filing.

subsequent event · 1

The March 2026 filing reports post-period investments and commitments with OpenAI and Anthropic that materially recontextualize the March 31, 2026 obligations and commercial relationships.

value revision · 1

The cataloged weighted-average diluted share and diluted EPS revisions for 2020–2022 are substantive rather than clerical because the reported values differ materially across filings.

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