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Aslan Research · Chips

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 27 quarters · filed in USD

Revenue reached $41.3 billion over the trailing year, while expenses were $31.0 billion. Revenue growth of 32% per year trails expense growth of 35% per year, even as committed obligations grew 66% per year.

Revenue, last 12 mo $41B to 2026-06-27
Spend, last 12 mo $31B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $3.2B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $35B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $0 + $222M signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $96B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)signed backlogdeferredQ3 '19Q2 '21Q4 '22Q4 '24Q2 '26$6.1B$12B

Reports $3.2B of debt; has promised $35B

Total committed money is $34.6 billion, far above reported debt of $3.2 billion. Purchases account for $30.3 billion of commitments, while leases account for $1.1 billion.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q4 '22Q4 '24Q2 '26$18B$36B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
9%
88%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
75%
28%
14%
2021
64%
21%
11%
2022
64%
25%
12%
2023
61%
29%
12%
2024
58%
29%
12%
2025
59%
27%
14%

When the promises come due

The five-year due wall is $95.9 billion, set against $144 million of future revenue promised over the same period. That gap is captured by a 665.9x ratio. Later amounts are much smaller: $261 million is due in years 5 to 10, and $311 million beyond 10 years.

$96Bnext 5 years$261Myears 5–10$311Mbeyond 10$0after yr 5, undated$144Mrevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 32% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q2
Expense growth /yr 35%
Promised money /yr 66%
Reported debt /yr 21%
Deferred revenue /yr —
Quarters re-stated 11 of 27 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$3.4Bfiled2019$1.8Breality2019$7.2Bfiled2020$7.2Breality2020$13Bfiled2021$11Breality2021$20Bfiled2022$20Breality2022$15Bfiled2023$4.5Breality2023$23Bfiled2024$13Breality2024$30Bfiled2025$14Breality2025$18Bfiled2026$18Breality2026

17 patterns worth a second look

The sharpest flag is the reported $9.5 billion of long-term data-center leases entered into after period end and expected to commence in 2027 and 2028. Filings also report financing involving an equity-method investee that is a supplier and resale counterparty, material guarantees and uncommenced lease commitments outside ordinary debt balances, and a change that broadened unconditional commitments to include cloud-service and other service-provider commitments.

circular financing · 1

The filings report AMD financing an equity-method investee that is also a supplier and resale counterparty.

off balance sheet · 2

The filings report material guarantees and uncommenced lease commitments outside the ordinary debt balances.

The Q2 2026 filing reports $9.5 billion of long-term data-center leases entered into after period end and expected to commence in 2027 and 2028.

one time dressing · 1

The filings report substantial licensing gains from milestone achievements and royalty income, including $102 million in FY2022 and $34 million in FY2023.

redefinition · 1

The filings change the reported scope of unconditional commitments from supplier obligations to include cloud-service and other service-provider commitments.

regulator challenge · 8

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-08-10, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-07-20; it quotes 8 staff comments.

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2021-01-14, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-12-30; it quotes 12 staff comments.

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2021-03-03, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-12-30; it quotes 0 staff comments.

+ 5 more

related party exposure · 1

The filings report sustained, material purchases and payables with the ATMP joint ventures in which AMD holds a 15% interest.

subsequent event · 1

The filing reports a subsequent $800 million export-control charge and a $900 million tax benefit that materially recontextualize the quarter ended March 29, 2025.

value revision · 2

The later filing reports a substantive revision to FY2023 selling, general and administrative expense from $2.352 billion to $2.318 billion.

The later filing reports a substantive revision to FY2024 selling, general and administrative expense from $2.783 billion to $2.735 billion.

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