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Aslan Research · Chip equipment

APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE (AMAT)

Data as of 2026-09-03 · 29 quarters · filed in USD

Revenue reached $30.8 billion over the trailing year, versus $22.5 billion of expenses. Revenue also grew 12% per year, faster than expenses at 7%.

Revenue, last 12 mo $31B to 2026-07-26
Spend, last 12 mo $22B cost + R&D + admin + tax
Debt they report $6.5B balance-sheet borrowings
Money promised $7.3B debt + leases + purchases
Unrealized revenue $3.3B + — signed backlog
Due in next 5 years $18B the obligation wall

Earned, collected early, and merely signed

revenue (qtr)deferredQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q4 '24Q3 '26$4.8B$9.6B

Reports $6.5B of debt; has promised $7.3B

Committed money totals $7.3 billion, only 1.1x reported debt of $6.5 billion. Leases account for $802 million of that commitment beyond debt.

promisedreported debtQ3 '19Q2 '21Q1 '23Q4 '24Q3 '26$3.9B$7.9B

What the promised total is made of, latest quarter

debtleasespurchase deals
today
89%
11%

Spending, by reported line

Cost of revenueR&DSelling & adminTax
2020
71%
17%
8%
2021
73%
15%
2022
72%
15%
2023
72%
16%
8%
2024
70%
16%
9%
2025
66%
16%
10%

When the promises come due

The next five years carry $17.9 billion due, while only $1.4 billion of revenue is promised for that period. That makes the due amount 12.6x the promised revenue.

$18Bnext 5 years$1.1Byears 5–10$1.2Bbeyond 10$0after yr 5, undated$1.4Brevenue promised to them

The rates that matter

Revenue growth /yr 12% 2020-Q2 → 2026-Q3
Expense growth /yr 7%
Promised money /yr 5%
Reported debt /yr 3%
Deferred revenue /yr 13%
Quarters re-stated 2 of 29 by cited reconciliation

Expenses as filed vs after cited reconciliation

$3.0Bfiled2019$3.0Breality2019$9.9Bfiled2020$9.9Breality2020$17Bfiled2021$17Breality2021$19Bfiled2022$19Breality2022$20Bfiled2023$20Breality2023$20Bfiled2024$20Breality2024$22Bfiled2025$22Breality2025$17Bfiled2026$17Breality2026

9 patterns worth a second look

The filings describe financing activity involving customer-originated receivables alongside customer revenue concentrations. They also show substantial purchase-order and lease commitments, plus a commercial-paper limit that rises from $1.5 billion to $4.0 billion between filings. A $253 million BIS settlement was paid during the following fiscal year, and the Kokusai Electric acquisition commitment and termination-fee disclosure later cease.

circular financing · 1

The company reports financing activity involving customer-originated receivables while also reporting customer revenue concentrations.

off balance sheet · 1

The filings present substantial purchase-order and lease commitments in the contractual-obligations and off-balance-sheet-arrangements disclosures.

one time dressing · 1

The filings separately identify material one-time charges that affect reported-period performance.

redefinition · 2

The filing changes the stated revolving-credit maturity from February 2026 to February 2030 while increasing the facility structure.

The commercial-paper program limit increases from $1.5 billion to $4.0 billion between filings.

regulator challenge · 1

A reply to SEC staff was filed on 2020-02-07, answering a staff comment letter dated 2020-01-24; it quotes 2 staff comments.

related party exposure · 1

Revenue is concentrated among a small number of major customers, with individual customers reaching 20% or more in several periods.

subsequent event · 1

The FY2025 filing reports a $253 million BIS settlement paid during the following fiscal year.

vanishing item · 1

The Kokusai Electric acquisition commitment and related termination-fee disclosure cease after the transaction agreement terminates.

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